Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.046280 0.050373 0.054521 0.059032 0.063794 0.068663 0.074012
2025-06-22 0.039879 0.045867 0.052157 0.059231 0.066937 0.075053 0.084220
2025-06-29 0.034788 0.042066 0.049960 0.059098 0.069324 0.080356 0.093099
2025-07-06 0.031903 0.040300 0.049662 0.060765 0.073465 0.087435 0.103859
2025-07-13 0.028274 0.037306 0.047653 0.060214 0.074881 0.091306 0.110928
2025-07-20 0.025617 0.035188 0.046427 0.060356 0.076919 0.095755 0.118565
2025-07-27 0.023755 0.033847 0.045963 0.061258 0.079732 0.101020 0.127100
2025-08-03 0.022421 0.033033 0.046031 0.062709 0.083131 0.106935 0.136385
2025-08-10 0.019615 0.030131 0.043335 0.060615 0.082123 0.107534 0.139334
2025-08-17 0.017814 0.028406 0.042000 0.060096 0.082938 0.110232 0.144718
2025-08-24 0.016183 0.026788 0.040695 0.059520 0.083603 0.112691 0.149776
2025-08-31 0.015617 0.026591 0.041218 0.061262 0.087155 0.118673 0.159117
2025-09-07 0.014804 0.026021 0.041243 0.062384 0.089988 0.123871 0.167651
2025-09-14 0.013893 0.025249 0.040951 0.063062 0.092244 0.128367 0.175365
2025-09-21 0.012860 0.024224 0.040252 0.063151 0.093712 0.131870 0.181866
2025-09-28 0.012479 0.024154 0.040869 0.065006 0.097485 0.138292 0.192032
2025-10-05 0.011398 0.022926 0.039780 0.064482 0.098094 0.140687 0.197165
2025-10-12 0.010610 0.022104 0.039228 0.064657 0.099600 0.144211 0.203717
2025-10-19 0.010103 0.021697 0.039253 0.065614 0.102139 0.149059 0.211952
2025-10-26 0.009783 0.021576 0.039686 0.067141 0.105449 0.154917 0.221502
2025-11-02 0.008544 0.019808 0.037562 0.064949 0.103649 0.154095 0.222498
2025-11-09 0.007805 0.018846 0.036614 0.064406 0.104067 0.156141 0.227154
2025-11-16 0.007111 0.017907 0.035656 0.063803 0.104368 0.158013 0.231575